Kentucky Derby co-favorite Omaha Beach (along with Roadster, recorded at 7/2 chances on the Westgate SuperBook’s futures ) is coping with a lingering quarter crack difficulty that he sustained back at a February race at Santa Anita. The old injury was treated a week with a fresh patch, a fresh pair of sneakers and has been described as”routine maintenance,” by blacksmith Ben Craft, who has worked on Omaha Beach since the crack was discovered.
The quarter crack shouldn’t be a problem. This colt has run nicely previously with the injury, winning the Rebel Stakes and Arkansas Derby. Trainer Richard Mandella does not play , and if this horse wasn’t sound and feeling great, he wouldn’t be heading into Louisville.
That being said, an injury is never a fantastic thing on the Triple Crown trail, and even the tiniest cut or bruise so close to the large race is about.
However, not many backers of Omaha Beach will jump ship due to his quarter fracture — the injury will have little impact on the wagering.
Where is the gambling value in Kentucky Derby futures odds?
I think Omaha Beach will be the post-time favorite in the 2019 Kentucky Derby and will go off at odds between 3/1 and 4/1, therefore the 7/2 futures price offered at the Westgate presents little to no worth. The same can be said for Roadster at 7/2, Improbable at 5/1, Maximum Security in 5/1 and Game Winner in 7/1. These high options have a good prospect of going off at higher odds. Remember, if you bet a horse at the futures pool and he doesn’t run, you don’t get your money back as you would on a wager made on Derby Day.
The second tier of prices is a fantastic place to begin searching for value. Tacitus and From My Standards are 14/1 here, and if you like those horses, that seems like a fair cost. War of Will at 16/1 and Code of Honor at 18/1 also seem to present good value, as those odds can be pumped in half by short time.
If you’re looking for a horse with higher odds that might provide value, consider Win Win Win at 30/1. This fellow launched his three-year old season with a 7 1/4-length victory from the Pasco Stakes on Jan. 19, breaking the track record. In his last outing, he closed to finish a good second behind Vekoma from the Blue Grass Stakes. At 25/1, this horse is well worth a shot off these efforts.
And should you like Win Win Win, you have to like Vekoma, winner of the Blue Grass, too. Additionally at 25/1, Vekoma offers value.
If you are searching for a $100 horse using a shot, check out Anothertwistafate (40/1), Haikal (50/1) or Tax (80/1), who have shown promise and the potential to jump up and become a star on May 4.
It’s is a wide-open Kentucky Derby this year, and also the preferred will be at 3/1 at post time. We have to constantly demand value in this match, and if you prefer one of the top five options in this futures pool, the value just is not there. It’s a smart move to wait until Derby Day.
2019 Kentucky Derby futures odds As of Tuesday, May 23 at Westgate
Omaha Beach 7/2
Maximum Security 5/1
Game Winner 7/1
By My Standards 14/1
War Of Will 16/1
Code Of Honor 18/1
Win Win Win 30/1
Extended Range Toddy 50/1
Cutting Humor 80/1
Country House 80/1
Plus Que Parfait 100/1
Gray Magician 100/1
Master Fencer 100/1
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