When the Detroit Lions travel to Lambeau to choose about the Green Bay Packers (8:20 P.M. ET/ESPN), then theyll be looking to pick up their first division win of this season. Theres a case. They drove off a win at Week 1 in Arizona and that they might have and should have beat against the Chiefs at home.
This is a better team than the one Matt Patricia inherited year. Theyve a balanced crime while their secondary has been among the best in the NFL. Their running game and their secondary are the keys Should they plan on beating the Packers again in Lambeau.
Even the Lions secondary has attracted opposing quarterbacks to an 80.3 passer rating thats excellent for 5th in the group. Theyre also holding QBs into 58.2% completed passes thats 3rd from the NFL. Last but not the least, their secondary is also tied for 2nd. Therefore this is no fluke, that their secondary rank in the top five. When you consider theyve played Phillip Rivers, Carson Wentz and Patrick Mahomes, this unit needs to be respected.
With a road performance against the Cowboys, the Green Bay Packers bounced back Following their home loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. The simple fact that they have it done by controlling their run game is a surprise for Aaron Rodgers and Packers fans.
Their run defense looked dreadful against Philadelphia but was able to keep the Dallas running game in check. Its difficult since the Cowboys being down 24-0 created them need to abandon their game to take from this.
Aaron Jones ran for 107 yards and captured the next 7 passes for 75 yards in a performance against Dallas. Just the risk of a running game produces Aaron Rodgers more efficient while he cant be expected to do this on a regular basis.
This line opened up at -6 together with the total in 47 depending on where you go shopping. Both lines have moved on the Lions carrying the over along with points. The public is showing respect to an Lions team which has competed this season and are coming off a bye week. Now would be the opportunity to strike since the lineup is unlikely to proceed in your favor if youre looking for actions on the Packers.
Trends Worth Paying Attention to:
?? Packers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 division games
?? Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Monday Night games
?? Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 matches
?? Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games from Packers
?? The Total has gone Under in 8 of the Lions past 11 games
My NFL pick for this match: Packers -4 (-103) in 5Dimes
I leaned toward the Lions at +6 however there are a couple points to consider about this match. A Packers win will give them command of the NFC North. Theyve already beaten the Bears and the Vikings and would have a firm grasp on first place with a win against the Lions. The thing is revenge for last years humiliating loss. Though Aaron Rodgers didnt play in Week 17 last year, the Lions won 31-0 and came into Lambeau, theyre second win in Green Bay.
The Lions should be able to keep it close but I think the Packers pay for the spread and pull away in the end. My NFL selection for this Week 4 Monday Night match between the Lions and the Packers is Green Bay -4 (-103).
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