Vegas Over/Under: 31.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 30-52 The Bet: lean although Prevent under
Spoiler alert: Losing Paul George is a big deal.
According to NBA Math’s total points included (TPA) metric, the haul–if you can call it that–brought back couldn’t quite match his production throughout the 2016-17 season. Whereas the superstar small forward ended with 150.42 TPA, Victor Oladipo (minus-58.86 TPA) and Domantas Sabonis (minus-159.61) dropped a little short.
Obviously, the Pacers purchased within these youngsters for their long-term potential. They should improve during the 2017-18 campaign, and the same is true of Myles Turner, who is a good bet to turn into a first-time All-Star during the upcoming season. This roster does have some upside, particularly when factoring in Cory Joseph and T.J. Leaf.
However, is that sufficient to overcome the departures of both George and C.J. Miles? Not, which is exactly why a steep dropoff ought to be anticipated after the Pacers somehow surpassed expectations to complete with a 42-40 record .
These players will be learning in featured roles, and losses will occur quite often. But that’s not a thing that is terrible. Allow the up-and-comers develop, maximize the capacity of draft picks during the 2018 prospect pageant and reap the benefits down the road.