Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and I will deviate from our regularly scheduled program of NFL debate to dip our feet into uncharted waters and then also leave our college football selections on the Monday night match between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Louisville Cardinals.
It will probably be the first and only time this season we do this, as the previous week of exhibition NFL football is somewhat lackluster compared to some regular-season sport of NCAA soccer comprising one of the greatest clubs in the country, and a mythical soccer program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets start the discussion after my buddy Doug Upstone got the best of me last week with a bet on the Steelers while the Titans were backed by me. We have been placing wins back and forth so it appears like it is my turn to get the gold wreath, since I heartily endorse the Irish and will follow all the squares putting the thick lumber on a public road favorite.
After reviewing the college football odds almost six days before this Monday night affair, I see that the lineup has spiked a half-point about the preferred, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where its presently offered at a solid -20 across the board at all the very best online sportsbooks.
Doug, I enjoy the Irish but youre leaning within this season-opening clash on the Cardinals. Apart from the place, why do you believe Louisville could hang with the boys from South Bend?
Doug Upstone: Yes at least and a triumph IMO, said a great deal about the management of the Steelers and Titans. Lets move to real football, so will our records with this one and where the matches count.
Remember Louisville used to perform against competitions that are big-name? They more than held their own and engineered several upsets. These were fun games and the Cardinals were an golf club.
However, such as the former Papa Johns Stadium as well as its phony (in real life) owner, Louisville football last year was worse than the usual three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked wonders and will be out to alter the culture and win games. This wont happen right away as the talent level is down in theVille. This is a time for Louisville, a group which has the opportunity to begin taking steps in the right direction.
Ive read where the Cards trainers have popped up the slow mechanics of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and I like Hassan Hall because the direct running back. Than using a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 the shield, well, that makes me more nervous. Why you have your Irish up, please do tell.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals wont be doing as the Notre Dame defense will keep them cozy in their nest, flying in this match. Scott Satterfield is now in the big leagues and he has a group last year, in which they went winless coming off of a dismal record. This rebuild is comparable to carrying a hot air balloon and seeking to turn it into an F-22 Raptor.
While this may eventually occur, the problem is that Louisville is facing a group that made it to the CFP this past year and possessed one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points over the normal season and moving a perfect 12-0 until they fulfilled Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The offense was clicking on all cylinders averaging 33 points per game over.
So, my question is, just how is a quarterback like Pass who is slow to release, supposed to obtain any traction against a swarming Irish shield? Particularly when hes working with a coach and an offensive strategy that is entirely new?
Please, Doug, rescue me Im lost! I find no way, shape or form where Louisville is going to be able to keep up with the Golden Domers and I am desperate to the brand new wisdom and prodigious handicapping experience!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im glad to read in your last sentence you are coming around to the bright side of sport betting, or youre just being the identical wise a** you usually are. I will allow the SBR readers that are making school football picks decide on this. I am the first to realize Louisville completely sucked and was 1-11 ATS, although not just 2-10 last year.
Just like he gave up about the Atlanta Falcons but that staff COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino. A fresh attitude is brought by A new coach and his team will be sold by Satterfield on creating a statement with this being a game. Louisville does have to hope the Irish will take them for granted and never have much fight.
Let us also consider, Brian Kelly with the blue and gold is ATS as a road favorite, and a mere 7-9-1 ATS when dishing out 20 or more specimens. That defense you mentioned may improve as the season progresses but replacing five starters, when you dont/can not amuse like Clemson or Bama, it will take some time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was a bit facetious because though youve got an impressive handicapping restart, then you miss the mark from time to time. And in this instance, you happen to be shooting, since Louisville might be greater compared to last year but I would submit that they are trained by a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their deplorable record rendered by an equally inept trainer such as Petrino.
I understand that laying nearly 3 touchdowns on the road is square biz for certain and Joe Q. Public never got rich by betting the heavy street chalk, but at times the public is correct, and in this instance they are. Until next week once we get down on our NFL Game of the Week, then let us see what happens on Monday night once the Irish come ready to squint at Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)