LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators both come into this Saturdays game.
LSU defeat against the Longhorns in week two and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp previous weekend. But during this weeks matchup at Death Valley, both teams look to take over a spot in the race to College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the way for them. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a stage in the 4th quarter since their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered as he went 11 with three INTs, into creating decisions that were several a week.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a seasoned quarterback and has led LSU to the best offensive start in SEC history. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in college football. That contains the 45 they dropped on the road on Texas.
As 13-point underdogs around BetNow , the Gators come in with the roar of all Death Valley anticipating. Would the No. cover the spread and 5 shield keep this close? Or will Burrow as well as win the bet and the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling? Heres the full breakdown.
Theres very little uncertainty in Burrows skill . Hes converted to a Heisman candidate, acquiring an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the best getting teams in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, with averages over 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some huge games. Chase is an actual presence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced target that will fill the spot. Its all a part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face undoubtedly the DB unit theyve played . Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by the other opponents of LSU: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Georgia Southern 111th.
Even though its safe to say theyve yet to play with a QB of all the standard of Burrow, florida sits at 33rd. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American whos living up to his billing. Shawn Davis creates a bunch of havoc in the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on spot, but has a ceiling for a cover man.
Burrow will even confront a, which will be fully healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as best is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) across the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line will be tested.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though his consciousness have to enhance he has to get flustered by an opposing defensive line. Auburns is the finest in the nation, and ranks 11th in line yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and is now currently 85th in bag rate. Theyll rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. The Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not out of it. He sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
Together with all the LBs All-American safety Grant Delpit should come up big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dash) is critical to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is most regarded as DBU for the gift they have on the outside of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman team, if not longer, in 2019.
Will probably likely soon be Kristian Fulton, who allowed the smallest quantity of first downs this past year out of returning FBS corners. It will be a push if given a chance against a pressured Trask Although this group is in passing yards allowed per-game 69th.
Balance will be crucial as for Florida, that has not got their running game this year, going. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the line on his approach . Even with that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also can be going up against the No. 1 d-line concerning power success (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front might not be powerful. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the floor, and thats like Perines long term and also a 76-yard receiver sweep that shut from the Kentucky game.
If they dont buy Perine or Dameon Pierce going frequently, it puts ways too much pressure on Trask at a hostile atmosphere.
Florida has earned respect from the college football world following last week. And while I dont expect them to come out at Death Valley with a win against LSU, I do see this game remaining many.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is one of the QBs in the FBS. But LSU isnt likely to install 45 or anything near this. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
Since the team has relied upon them much too much to change the wave in games, the Gators defense will probably work out over time. Marco Wilson will be the topic against Jefferson or the physical Chase into some PIs.
But I dont expect this till late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the game in a lot of a slog until then makes Florida the appropriate wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
Read more: https://www.woodexperience.be/2019/10/15/manchester-united-v-liverpool-tips-betting-preview/
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